Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Electoral College Math- Updated and Corrected

In my last post I totaled the electoral votes Obama and Romney would get as predicted by state polls. I noticed that my totals were six short of the 538 electoral votes for the country as a whole. This was because I missed Delaware and the District of Columbia. No state polls were done in either of these states. 

I totaled the votes again with the most recent polls as of September 25, 2012. The polls predict 341 electoral votes for Obama, and 181 for Romney. No state polls have been conducted in Alaska, Idaho, or Wyoming. These will certainly be won by Romney, bringing his total to 191. Again, no state polls have been conducted in Delaware or the District of Columbia, and these will certainly be won by Obama, bringing his total to 347. This still implies a closer election than the 365 to 173 Obama scored against McCain in 2008, but things are starting to look less interesting.