Sunday, November 4, 2012

Obama vs. Romney: Most Recent Polls

To update my previous post, as of November 4 the polls indicate that Ohio, Florida, and Virginia have all become Obama territory, while Colorado is now tied. This means 323 electoral votes for Obama, and 191 for Romney. To win the election Romney will need another 79 electoral votes. He could do this by picking up the two tied states, North Carolina and Colorado, as well as the currently Obama leaning states of Virginia, Florida, Ohio, and Wisconsin. 

Here is an updated chart, the poll numbers are shown above the columns, the electoral votes of the respective states are shown below the state abbreviations.

Friday, November 2, 2012

Obama's Lead by State

This shows Obama's lead over Romney as of November 2 (states where Romney leads are shown as negative). The states are ranked from Obama's greatest lead on the left to Romney's greatest lead on the right. For most states I used the most recent available poll results. If more than one poll was done at about the same time, I used the results of the one with the smaller margin of error. For the few states where no poll has been conducted, I used the results of the 2008 presidential election. This places the electoral vote count at 272 to 251, with Obama in the lead (I didn't count North Carolina on either side since the polls say there is an equal split there). To pull off a victory, it now appears Romney would have to win over North Carolina and Iowa. I'll try to make some improvements for future versions on this chart.