Electoral Vote Math

Current state polls show Obama winning 265 electoral votes, with Romney winning 257. No state polls have been done for Alaska (3 EV), Idaho (4 EV), and Wyoming (3 EV). Romney will almost certainly win all three of these states, meaning that Romney is projected to win the election by two electoral votes. That is, if you believe the polls. Essentially every poll except the two done by Rasmussen Reports (an agency that tends to favor Republicans) has shown that Iowa (6 EV) will be won by Obama. Rasmussen is also the only agency that believes Romney will win Wisconsin (10 EV). You might think that Wisconsin would be a likely win for Romney considering that it is Paul Ryan's home state. Unfortunately for Romney, a CNN poll conducted two days after the Paul Ryan announcement showed Obama ahead by four points.