It is doubtless that the extreme population density of New York City has played a role in New York's status as the state most heavily hit by Covid-19. I compared Covid-19 deaths/1,000,000 population to population density for each state (as well as District of Columbia and Puerto Rico). The data was obtained from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ on April 14, 2020.
I didn't include District of Columbia in the chart because it's population density makes it too much of an outlier. Other outliers (New York in particular) still make the chart mostly unreadable, so I included the data below. I sorted states by deaths per 1,000,000 population divided by population density, and ranked the states. By some logic this orders the states from best to worst performance after accounting for differences in population density. Of course, many other factors have had an impact. The most immediate thing people might suggest is that Puerto Rico and Hawaii performed well because they are islands, and therefore naturally isolated. This might not explain it completely; Hawaii also has the longest life expectancy of all states, and Puerto Rico is not far behind it. Perhaps the general health of the population is an important factor. It should also be noted, that while Alaska performed worst by a huge margin in this measure, about half of Alaska's population lives in the Anchorage metropolitan area, making its overall population density number more skewed than other states.Rank | State | Population/Square Mile | Deaths/1,000,000 Population | (Deaths/1,000,000 Population)/(Population/Square Mi) |
District of Columbia | 11011 | 76 | 0.0069021887 | |
Puerto Rico | 1046 | 13 | 0.0124282983 | |
1 | Hawaii | 222 | 6 | 0.027027027 |
2 | North Carolina | 206 | 11 | 0.0533980583 |
3 | Florida | 378 | 24 | 0.0634920635 |
4 | West Virginia | 76 | 5 | 0.0657894737 |
5 | Rhode Island | 1021 | 69 | 0.0675808031 |
6 | Maryland | 618 | 44 | 0.071197411 |
7 | California | 251 | 19 | 0.0756972112 |
8 | Ohio | 284 | 24 | 0.0845070423 |
9 | Virginia | 212 | 18 | 0.0849056604 |
10 | Delaware | 485 | 43 | 0.0886597938 |
11 | Tennessee | 160 | 16 | 0.1 |
12 | Texas | 105 | 11 | 0.1047619048 |
13 | South Carolina | 162 | 18 | 0.1111111111 |
14 | New Hampshire | 148 | 17 | 0.1148648649 |
15 | Georgia | 177 | 24 | 0.1355932203 |
16 | Massachusetts | 871 | 124 | 0.1423650976 |
17 | Pennsylvania | 286 | 46 | 0.1608391608 |
18 | Utah | 36 | 6 | 0.1666666667 |
19 | Arkansas | 57 | 10 | 0.1754385965 |
20 | Minnesota | 68 | 13 | 0.1911764706 |
21 | Kentucky | 112 | 23 | 0.2053571429 |
22 | Alabama | 95 | 21 | 0.2210526316 |
23 | New Jersey | 1218 | 275 | 0.2257799672 |
24 | Connecticut | 741 | 168 | 0.2267206478 |
25 | Missouri | 88 | 20 | 0.2272727273 |
26 | Iowa | 55 | 14 | 0.2545454545 |
27 | Wisconsin | 106 | 27 | 0.2547169811 |
28 | Illinois | 231 | 62 | 0.2683982684 |
29 | Indiana | 184 | 53 | 0.2880434783 |
30 | Arizona | 60 | 18 | 0.3 |
31 | Oregon | 41 | 13 | 0.3170731707 |
32 | Maine | 43 | 14 | 0.3255813953 |
33 | Wyoming | 6 | 2 | 0.3333333333 |
34 | Nebraska | 24 | 9 | 0.375 |
35 | Oklahoma | 57 | 25 | 0.4385964912 |
36 | Mississippi | 63 | 33 | 0.5238095238 |
37 | Kansas | 36 | 21 | 0.5833333333 |
38 | South Dakota | 11 | 7 | 0.6363636364 |
39 | Vermont | 67 | 45 | 0.671641791 |
40 | Washington | 107 | 72 | 0.6728971963 |
41 | New Mexico | 17 | 15 | 0.8823529412 |
42 | Michigan | 175 | 161 | 0.92 |
43 | Montana | 7 | 7 | 1 |
44 | Idaho | 20 | 20 | 1 |
45 | Colorado | 52 | 55 | 1.0576923077 |
46 | North Dakota | 10 | 11 | 1.1 |
47 | New York | 420 | 513 | 1.2214285714 |
48 | Nevada | 26 | 41 | 1.5769230769 |
49 | Louisiana | 108 | 190 | 1.7592592593 |
50 | Alaska | 1 | 11 | 11 |
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