Tuesday, April 14, 2020

Covid-19 Deaths and Population Density by State

It is doubtless that the extreme population density of New York City has played a role in New York's status as the state most heavily hit by Covid-19. I compared Covid-19 deaths/1,000,000 population to population density for each state (as well as District of Columbia and Puerto Rico). The data was obtained from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ on April 14, 2020. 
I didn't include District of Columbia in the chart because it's population density makes it too much of an outlier. Other outliers (New York in particular) still make the chart mostly unreadable, so I included the data below. I sorted states by deaths per 1,000,000 population divided by population density, and ranked the states. By some logic this orders the states from best to worst performance after accounting for differences in population density. Of course, many other factors have had an impact. The most immediate thing people might suggest is that Puerto Rico and Hawaii performed well because they are islands, and therefore naturally isolated. This might not explain it completely; Hawaii also has the longest life expectancy of all states, and Puerto Rico is not far behind it. Perhaps the general health of the population is an important factor. It should also be noted, that while Alaska performed worst by a huge margin in this measure, about half of Alaska's population lives in the Anchorage metropolitan area, making its overall population density number more skewed than other states.
RankStatePopulation/Square MileDeaths/1,000,000 Population(Deaths/1,000,000 Population)/(Population/Square Mi)

 District of Columbia11011760.0069021887

 Puerto Rico1046130.0124282983
1 Hawaii22260.027027027
2 North Carolina206110.0533980583
3 Florida378240.0634920635
4 West Virginia7650.0657894737
5 Rhode Island1021690.0675808031
6 Maryland618440.071197411
7 California251190.0756972112
8 Ohio284240.0845070423
9 Virginia212180.0849056604
10 Delaware485430.0886597938
11 Tennessee160160.1
12 Texas105110.1047619048
13 South Carolina162180.1111111111
14 New Hampshire148170.1148648649
15 Georgia177240.1355932203
16 Massachusetts8711240.1423650976
17 Pennsylvania286460.1608391608
18 Utah3660.1666666667
19 Arkansas57100.1754385965
20 Minnesota68130.1911764706
21 Kentucky112230.2053571429
22 Alabama95210.2210526316
23 New Jersey12182750.2257799672
24 Connecticut7411680.2267206478
25 Missouri88200.2272727273
26 Iowa55140.2545454545
27 Wisconsin106270.2547169811
28 Illinois231620.2683982684
29 Indiana184530.2880434783
30 Arizona60180.3
31 Oregon41130.3170731707
32 Maine43140.3255813953
33 Wyoming620.3333333333
34 Nebraska2490.375
35 Oklahoma57250.4385964912
36 Mississippi63330.5238095238
37 Kansas36210.5833333333
38 South Dakota1170.6363636364
39 Vermont67450.671641791
40 Washington107720.6728971963
41 New Mexico17150.8823529412
42 Michigan1751610.92
43 Montana771
44 Idaho20201
45 Colorado52551.0576923077
46 North Dakota10111.1
47 New York4205131.2214285714
48 Nevada26411.5769230769
49 Louisiana1081901.7592592593
50 Alaska11111

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